You may have been duped by a data model predicting the 2024 BC Election results
A model projecting the results of the 2024 BC Election was shared on social media was misinterpreted data from a legitimate police falsely modelled an Angus Reid Institute Poll. The model was initially shared on X (formerly known as Twitter) by an account called Polling...
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A model projecting the results of the 2024 BC Election was shared on social media was misinterpreted data from a legitimate police falsely modelled an Angus Reid Institute Poll.
The model was initially shared on X (formerly known as Twitter) by an account called Polling Canada and has since been shared many times. It turns out it's a website that aggregates publicly available content and is especially popular on X.
It predicts 75 NDP seats, 16 BC Conservatives and two BC Greens and represents those predictions on a map of the province, supposedly from Angus Reid's polling data.
That Angus Reid BC Poll Modelled:
NDP: 75 (+18)
CON: 16 (+16)
GRN: 2 (-)
(Seat change with 2020 election)
(Model by @kylejhutton
https://twitter.com/kylejhutton?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw
) pic.twitter.com/51fHieD8Y7
https://t.co/51fHieD8Y7
— Polling Canada (@CanadianPolling) December 18, 2023
https://twitter.com/CanadianPolling/status/1736858016639783306?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw
iNFOnews.ca contacted Angus Reid's president and discovered this isn't the first time Polling Canada has shared information claiming to be from Angus Reid.
“These models have nothing to do with the Angus Reid Institute,” Shachi Kurl said in an emailed statement, Dec. 21.
Kurl said Polling Canada has also misinterpreted the data.
She has sent Polling Canada messages about their incorrect information and whomever runs the X account didn't show any interest in correcting the information.
“The site you mentioned has blocked me on X. This happened after I twice pointed out factual errors in the way this account reports our data and the response was to block us,” Kurl said.
The Angus Reid Institute is an acclaimed national non-partisan, not-for-profit opinion research foundation and their results, and the methodology behind them can, be found on their website here
https://angusreid.org/
.
Polling Canada and Kyle Hutton, who made the model, didn't respond to an interview request.
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